Category Archives: Monitoring

Boxing and Risk-based Management

Boxing is a risk event. Monitoring risk is like watching boxing, both with the intention to strike opportunities, prevent and mitigate threats, make the right response, and to make the right decision.

As a risk-based management practitioner, the sometimes bloody sport of boxing is so fascinating in my view as it relates so well with the concept of risk.

Boxers have their response plan to prevent or mitigate the punches. The boxing judges have a decision to make and it has to be the right one Continue reading

Posted in Analysis, Boxing Analysis, Business, Causes and effects, Data Assessment, E-Touch Up, Economics, Execution Strategy, Issues and Problems, Managing Assumptions, Monitoring, Opportunities, Opportunity, Planning and Scheduling, Program Management, risk, Risk Assessment and Treatment, Risk Case Study, Risk Relativity, Risk Universe, Risk-based Management, rufran frago, Rufran's Blogs, Threats, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Diversity Risk in the Canadian Workplace

If we look in the past, multiculturalism has a long and wide history in Canada. It was then adopted by the government during the 1970s and 1980s (Kobayashi, 1993) and (Duncan & Duncan, 1993).
From that time onwards, various religious and cultural influences flourished in our society; from the family to the workplace and into the main building blocks of Canadian politics. They consist of people from a multitude of racial, religious, and cultural background. 

Multiculturalism was an open invitation to “cultural pluralism”, a state where smaller groups within a larger society maintain their unique cultural identities. It means that the values and practices of a distinct cultural group are accepted by the wider culture provided they do not violate any governing laws and values.

Note that “cultural pluralism” is often confused with “multiculturalism”. 
Yes, the attributes are very similar except for one evident distinction-“multiculturalism lacks the requirement for a dominant culture (Wikipedia, 2013.Cultural Pluralism). 

In the midst of these diversities lie the risks and questions that we all have to answer and manage every day.  Continue reading

Posted in Analysis, Black Swans, Business, Canadian Politics, Causes and effects, Construction Management, Data Assessment, Data Maturity, Decision Making, Diversity, Diversity Risk, E-Touch Up, E-Touch Up Products, Economics, Execution Strategy, Information Maturity, Integration, Issues and Problems, Managing Assumptions, Managing Constraints, Monitoring, Opportunities, Opportunity, Overseas Contract Workers, Overseas Foreign Workers, Pinoy OCWs, Planning and Scheduling, Program Management, Project Management, Quality Management, risk, Risk Assessment and Treatment, Risk Case Study, Risk of Working Overseas, Risk Relativity, Risk Universe, Risk-based Management, rufran frago, Rufran's Blogs, Threats | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Diversity Risk – Case 1 : Nho Klu

I happened to come across Nho recently and he has this to say:

“My family immigrated to Canada in 2003 and was into my second year when I got employed in that EPC company where I eventually reported to John. When John talked, I was all ears. By not being vocal against some of his methods, I thought I was showing my respect and loyalty. Although, I sometimes felt he does not have any idea about the task, I kept my mouth shut. He was my leader and I trusted him to do things correctly. I have never done anything unless I have his blessing. What kind of Leader was he that after giving my best approving-yes-attitude and respect, that was how he repaid me? I do not have any idea.”

The truth is (that is whether you admit it or not) there will be times and occasions that one just cannot seem to get his message across and vice versa. The other party or parties apparently do not appreciate what one is bringing to the table. In the midst of these diversities lie the risks and questions that we all have to answer and manage every day (Frago, R., 2017.Diversity Risk in the Canadian Workplace.LinkedIn Pulse).

Managers tend to see the next person through perception all the time. He sees someone the way others painted the person or what he himself has painted the person to be.

The danger is, what the leader perceived might be farthest from the truth. Continue reading

Posted in Analysis, Black Swans, Business, Canadian Politics, Causes and effects, Construction Management, Data Assessment, Decision Making, Diversity, Diversity Risk, E-Touch Up, E-Touch Up Products, Economics, Execution Strategy, Information Maturity, Integration, Issues and Problems, Managing Assumptions, Managing Constraints, Monitoring, OFW, Oil Future, Opportunities, Opportunity, Overseas Contract Workers, Overseas Foreign Workers, Pinoy OCWs, Planning and Scheduling, Program Management, Progress Measurement, Project Management, Quality Management, risk, Risk Assessment and Treatment, Risk Case Study, Risk of Working Overseas, Risk Relativity, Risk Universe, Risk-based Management, rufran frago, Rufran's Blogs, Threats, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Planning, Scheduling, and Safety

There are 150,000 collisions, 350 traffic deaths, and 20,000 injuries every year in Alberta, Canada (AMA, 2011).

You might be living somewhere in another place or country and you have different numbers. Your statistics might be worse or better.

The thing is, behind this statistics are faces of families and friends, the communities, and workplaces. They are all negatively affected and there is an urgent need to understand and do something.
If one thinks about it long enough, he will realize that the solution to this harmful and deadly consequence is risk-based management. Continue reading

Posted in Analysis, Black Swans, Causes and effects, Data Assessment, Data Maturity, Issues and Problems, Managing Constraints, Monitoring, Planning and Scheduling, Program Schedule, risk, Risk Assessment and Treatment, Risk Relativity, Risk Universe, Risk-based Management, rufran frago, Rufran's Blogs, Threats, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Black Swans

Black swan events are so fascinating that they are a common source of discussion in many risk management forums. The variety of perspectives coming from all directions never ceases to amaze.

To a risk manager, ‘black swan’ phenomena are highly unlikely events that have massive impacts on a business or society on the rare occasions they occur. It means that the event is unexpected, but is of huge consequence (Ferguson, 2014). There is no scientific way at present to predict black swan events reasonably and acceptably.
Continue reading

Posted in Analysis, Baseline Management, Black Swans, Business, Canadian Politics, Causes and effects, Construction Management, Critical Path, Critical Path Management, Data Assessment, Data Maturity, Decision Making, Deterministic Schedule, E-Touch Up, Economics, Information Maturity, Integrated Schedule, Integration, Issues and Problems, Managing Assumptions, Managing Constraints, Monitoring, Oil Future, Opportunities, Opportunity, Planning and Scheduling, Program Management, Program Schedule, Progress Measurement, Project Management, Reporting, Risk Assessment and Treatment, Risk Relativity, Risk Universe, Risk-based Management, rufran frago, Rufran's Blogs, Threats, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Risk Relativity

A person’s perspective depends on which side of the fence they are sitting on. With that in mind, a risk can be a threat or an opportunity. Your business sees a threat and your competitor sees an opportunity. It is as simple as that.

Each individual player within the risk universe will see things a bit differently compared to the next person, with some people interpreting things in exactly the opposite fashion. In each case, the person can see only one attribute.

The simplistic objective point of view is that risk is either a threat or an opportunity, depending on the observer’s orientation to the goal. Continue reading

Posted in Analysis, Business, Causes and effects, Construction Management, Critical Path, Critical Path Management, Data Assessment, Data Maturity, Decision Making, Deterministic Schedule, E-Touch Up, Economics, Execution Strategy, Information Maturity, Integrated Schedule, Integration, Issues and Problems, Managing Assumptions, Managing Constraints, Monitoring, Opportunity, Planning and Scheduling, Program Management, Program Schedule, Project Management, Quality Management, Reporting, risk, Risk Assessment and Treatment, Risk Relativity, Risk Universe, Risk-based Management, rufran frago, Rufran's Blogs, Threats, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Risky Decision: Choosing Daycare

It is always better to learn from the experience of others than to experience the pain yourself. Forewarned is forearmed.

As a Risk-based Management practitioner, what more, a grandfather, I would like to remind all Moms and Dads to be acutely aware of all risk indicators before letting others take care of their precious ones. Be cognizant of warning signs that threatens the safety of your child.

Do not focus too much on your own personal objectives, your targets, or your timelines to accomplish something.

Never equate the risk (threat) to the convenience and freedom daycare brings to your life.

Do not rush into making any decision affecting your child. Think deeply and re-think your priority list!

Best Time in Life

The best time in life is being a Mom and a Dad to your kids in their formative years. Nothing beats that.

It is the best thing in the world. It is way beyond work/job, career development, MBA, Doctorate, Diploma, Certificate, and other accolades. Family is first.
Continue reading

Posted in Analysis, Business, Causes and effects, Childcare, Data Assessment, Day Home, Daycare, Decision Making, Issues and Problems, Managing Assumptions, Monitoring, Risk Assessment and Treatment, Risk Universe, rufran frago, Rufran's Blogs, Threats, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Hold your breath! These are Phantom Schedules!

“Now, the fun begins. It gets even more exciting when two opposing poles get near each other debating project change notices and non-compliance reports. Arguments usually boil down to the definition of a schedule baseline and the right way to manage it. If there is no governing prior agreement, it becomes difficult to reconcile, as the expected answer has to satisfy both clients and contractors (or whichever party is involved). The perennial argument revolving around schedule baseline management is probably as old as when the term was first coined. It is sad to detect that many, especially project managers just kept on missing the points of control (Frago, R., 2016.Schedule Baseline Dilemma Part 1).”

Warning: A phantom schedule can work against its proponents in the end if sponsors are not careful.

Ghost schedule removes time management focus from the officially approved contractual schedule. Complications start when this happen.

Client cannot effectively use the phantom schedule in officially discussing path forward with the contractor. It is not an acceptable driver to get the contractor going another way. After all, this schedule does not exist. Continue reading

Posted in Analysis, Baseline Management, Business, Causes and effects, Construction Management, Decision Making, Execution Strategy, Integrated Schedule, Integration, Issues and Problems, Monitoring, Opportunities, P6 Issues, Planning and Scheduling, Progress Measurement, Project Management, Quality Management, Reporting, Risk Assessment and Treatment, Risk Universe, Risk-based Management, rufran frago, Rufran's Blogs, Schedule Baseline, Threats, Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Effects of Constraints to Critical Path

Identifying and validating project constraints affecting the schedule is an important part of monitoring and control. Constraints for the most part are project assumptions.

Treat them with caution and respect.

“Once started, the project is actually operating under three big traditional major constraints* of cost, time, and scope (*note that PMBOK had recently came up with six constraints).

Constraints imposed on activities are multiple limitations that will most likely further make it challenging and difficult to manage time.”

The critical path ultimately dictates the duration of the project. For this reason, a planning and scheduling person has to understand how constraints affect the schedule.
Continue reading

Posted in Analysis, Business, Construction Management, Critical Path, Critical Path Management, Data Assessment, Data Maturity, Information Maturity, Integrated Schedule, Issues and Problems, Longest Path, Managing Assumptions, Managing Constraints, Monitoring, Planning and Scheduling, Primavera Administration, Program Management, Program Schedule, Project Management, Quality Management, Risk Assessment and Treatment, Risk-based Management, rufran frago, Rufran's Blogs, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

The Risky Future of Oil

In risk-based management, one tries to anticipate the risk. The risk is either a threat or an opportunity. The issues of today are the risks of the past. The risks of the future are driven by the issues and problems of today. How the issues are addressed today will decide what happen in the future. These are fundamentals of risk and risk-based management. The risky future of oil points to the events that threaten it and the opportunities that come close behind ( Frago, R., 2015.Risk-based Management in the World of Threats and Opportunities: A Project Controls Perspective).

No one expert knows exactly how much oil out there exceeds the global volumetric demand but all seem to agree that the entire world is drowning in it. The Gulf countries, foremost Saudi Arabia are reportedly pumping at almost maximum capacity without blinking an eye.

There are now more than three billion barrels of excess supply in world oil markets, according to the International Energy Agency last November 2015. It its latest monthly report, the IEA said this “massive cushion” of excess supply has grown as oil prices have fallen to a new normal of around $50 billion barrels a day (The Telegraph, 2015). We can all extrapolate what is the current figure as of today and we won’t be dead wrong.

With Iran back on play, it won’t be long before the Iranians fully open their discharge valve occupying whatever space is left to take. This Saudis are doing all they can to protect and even grow market shares. The object is to prevent arch rival Iran from surging back with vengeance. It means that whatever good things the last twelve months retreat shelving drilling, exploration, and billions worth of projects, truth of the matter is, it might not be enough. Continue reading

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