Tag Archives: Rufran and Project Controls

Black Swans

Black swan events are so fascinating that they are a common source of discussion in many risk management forums. The variety of perspectives coming from all directions never ceases to amaze.

To a risk manager, ‘black swan’ phenomena are highly unlikely events that have massive impacts on a business or society on the rare occasions they occur. It means that the event is unexpected, but is of huge consequence (Ferguson, 2014). There is no scientific way at present to predict black swan events reasonably and acceptably.
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Fundamentals of a Good Analysis and the Villain Called Perception

Some five to ten years ago, a Project Controls colleague asked an interesting question. It is about the analysis/reports that our PC Group completes periodically. Some of the reports are “as required” but most times on a fixed cycle; e.g. … Continue reading

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